When faced with a difficult problem in Idlib, the Turkish president has no one to rely on, after turning away from the superpowers for his own benefit.

Turkey on March 1 announced the launch of its Spring Shield military campaign against Syrian government troops in Idlib, in response to a Syrian air strike that killed 34 soldiers. The move intensified tensions between Ankara and Damascus as Syria opened a campaign to regain Idlib province from Turkish-backed rebel groups.

The conflict in Idlib is a difficult problem for Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, because without intervention, rebel groups trained and equipped by Ankara will be crushed by Syrian government troops. But when it sent troops into Idlib, Turkey faced experienced Syrian combat forces, as well as the support fire of the Russian air force and the strike that killed 34 soldiers, for example.

Erdogan failed to activate Article 5 of the NATO Charter, which required the countries of the bloc to protect each other when a member was attacked. The United States also flatly refused to provide air support for Turkish soldiers, saying it had only military and humanitarian support.

After failing to persuade Western allies, he prepared to head to Moscow to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss the situation in Idlib.

Analysts say that Erdogan's actions could make Turkey "lose both lead and fishing" when it is unable to draw support from any superpower, even risk turning away from Ankara. times exploited, pushing the two sides into a confrontation position to serve their own calculations.

Turkey believes that it has established a new border in Syria with an agreement to set up a de-escalation zone in Idlib at the end of 2018. "Erdogan wants to control most of Idlib province and a 50 km wide buffer zone at the Turkish border. United - Syria, in order to cut the territory of the Kurdish territory in Syria, "said political analyst Tom Luongo in the US.

"He could kiss this week, thank Putin, but next week he could ask US President Donald Trump to hand over Patriot air defense missiles," Luongo said, saying that the Turkish president believes he "control" both Washington and Moscow to gain strategic benefits.

Turkey angered the United States when it ordered and ordered the Russian-made S-400 air defense complex, forcing Washington to respond by removing Ankara from the F-35 super-fighter project and refusing to sell 105 F aircraft. -35A is ordered by this country.

The Moscow-Ankara relationship also unexpectedly deteriorated as Turkey's escalating military action in Idlib appeared to have angered Russia. Russian military forces in Syria have warned they will not guarantee the safety of Turkish fighters operating in Idlib. This statement means that Russia will not intervene if the Syrian air defense launches a missile at Turkey in the northwestern airspace of the country.

"I think Erdogan overestimated his ability and he was in a state of despair," Luongo said.

Not only is it difficult in foreign affairs, Erdogan also faces growing domestic discontent. The people of Turkey supported Erdogan after a failed coup in 2016.However, he failed in two elections in the capital city of Ankara and Istanbul in the past 12 months, while the support ratio households with Erdogan are now only over 40%.

Unemployment is rising, while Erdogan urged the central bank to lower interest rates to cope with inflation. "Erdogan angered all the parties who helped him through the budget crisis in 2018," Luongo said.

Experts say Erdogan will pursue a new agreement on Syria during a visit to Moscow to save face and maintain power. However, most likely the Turkish President will have to leave empty handed.

"Putin needs Turkey, not Erdogan. I think all sides are tired of being forced into a confrontation because Ankara and Erdogan's game is in a dilemma between the superpowers. No one will save Erdogan when he loses power, "Luongo warned.